Hello fam, how are you? What a week huh.
The week opened with a quiet drift lower across risk markets and closed with a geopolitical jolt. Early Saturday, Feb 28, Israel announced what it called a “pre-emptive” strike on Iran, with reports of explosions in Tehran and nationwide alerts inside Israel.
Markets reacted the way they usually do when uncertainty becomes real instead of theoretical: liquidity pulled back, leverage got punished, and volatility woke up fast.
Tensions around Iran’s nuclear program weren’t new, but the tone this week suggested diplomacy was running out of easy off-ramps.
One widely circulated narrative summarized Iran’s stance as unwilling to dismantle Fordow, shut Natanz, or surrender enriched uranium, while only offering temporary pauses. On the other side, Washington’s position was framed as demanding zero enrichment permanently. Add to that speculation that even with a heavy U.S. military buildup, a prolonged bombing campaign could face logistical limits within days, and the market suddenly had a fresh risk layer to price in.
Then the weekend headlines hit: strikes confirmed, explosions reported, and the key question shifted from “if” to “what next.”
Markets don’t wait for perfect clarity.
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